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Market Overview - Page 76


Oil has closed the gap but is ready to go lower
Oil has closed the gap but is ready to go lower.

WTI oil stabilises near $75 for the third day at the lowest monthly level. The economic slowdown is dragging down the Crude, but OPEC+ coordination supports the market. Oil has returned to a range from which an exit promises to.

A gold bull cycle is not over yet
A gold bull cycle is not over yet.

Gold has flirted with $2000 three times in the last three years. This time, however, it is more likely that the bulls will soon be able to hold higher for longer, as gold’s rally now has a slightly different character..

Japan Inflation: Higher than expected but slowing
Japan Inflation: Higher than expected but slowing.

Consumer price inflation in Japan is in no hurry to slow down. In March, prices rose 3.2% y/y, compared with 3.3% in February and an expected 2.6%. The core price index excludes food and energy but has not yet peaked,.

Deteriorating US labour market
Deteriorating US labour market.

Initial jobless claims in the US came in at 245K last week, compared with the previous and expected level of 240K. This figure has been rising since the beginning of the year. It is not a pandemic spike or a.

Rising UK unemployment, along with earnings
Rising UK unemployment, along with earnings.

The labour market situation in the UK is worrying. Claimant counts rose by 28.2K in March, following two months of falls by 21.5K and 18.8K, and forecasts for a fall of 2.5K last month. In a broader picture, the number.

Domestic demand picks up in China
Domestic demand picks up in China.

China released a large set of statistics this morning from which it’s difficult to draw clear conclusions, although GDP growth was stronger than expected. The Chinese economy grew by 2.2% in the first three months of the year and is.

Dollar’s return to growth?
Dollar’s return to growth?.

Today is not a day rich in economic data. The most important is the Empire State manufacturing index, which came in well above expectations for April. The New York Fed’s index rose to 10.8 from -24.6 the previous month, although.

Oil stumbled 200-day MA
Oil stumbled 200-day MA.

WTI Crude Oil is trading below $82 a barrel at the start of the new week and remains below its 200-day moving average. Crude oil was not allowed to break above this critical curve for the banks and big players,.

Swiss price pressure almost neutralised
Swiss price pressure almost neutralised.

The Swiss Producer and Import Price Index rose by 0.2% in March, slowing the annual growth rate to 2.1% from 2.7%. Producer price pressures are easing faster than expected (2.7% y/y expected). Easing inflation is a long-awaited signal for the.

Fed shrinks balance sheet slower than ECB
Fed shrinks balance sheet slower than ECB.

The Fed’s balance sheet shrank by 17.6 bn last week to 8,615 bn. Down 119bn over three weeks, the balance sheet is still 275bn higher than at the start of March. Pumping liquidity into the financial system helps to support.

US PPI numbers are the real inflation surprise
US PPI numbers are the real inflation surprise.

US producer prices are the real inflation surprise. A real shock followed yesterday’s mild disappointment in consumer inflation in producer prices. They fell by 0.5% in March, and the annual growth rate fell from 4.9% to 2.7%. This is the.

US inflation weighs on the dollar
US inflation weighs on the dollar.

Last month, US inflation fell more than expected due to cheaper energy and food. The CPI rose 5%, down from 6% the previous month and just below the expected 5.1%. We had warned of this possibility. However, it is challenging.

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