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Market Overview - Page 77


What China’s weak inflation tells us
What China’s weak inflation tells us.

China’s CPI was 0.3% lower year-on-year in July, which the media has rushed to call deflation, while by definition, it is a sustained price fall. It is more accurate to discuss disinflationary pressures caused by one-off factors, including last year’s.

Macroeconomic pressures on oil, as geopolitics temporarily out of play
Macroeconomic pressures on oil, as geopolitics temporarily out of play.

Oil is down around 2.5% since the start of the day on Tuesday to $80.1 per barrel WTI, as a loss of traction in risk assets coincided with a fresh wave of concerns over China’s growth rate.  Foreign trade data.

Employment growth is slightly weaker than expected, new wage growth rate
Employment growth is slightly weaker than expected, new wage growth rate.

Employment growth is somewhat weaker than expected, but wage growth and the falling unemployment rate could be a reason for another Fed rate hike. The US labour market created 187k new jobs after 185k previously (revised from 209k). Formally, the.

Ahead of NFP: looking for signs of a turnaround
Ahead of NFP: looking for signs of a turnaround.

Later on Friday, an important US employment report will be released. On average, analysts expect employment growth of just over 200K, which is in line with the trend rate of hiring during periods of trend GDP growth. Hourly payrolls are.

The Bank of England raises interest rates, but not the pound
The Bank of England raises interest rates, but not the pound.

The Bank of England raised its key interest rate by 25 points to 5.25%, as widely expected by the market. Eight out of nine members voted for the hike, with two supporting a 50-basis point increase. The Bank of England’s.

The dollar’s ascent could be the start of a long-term trend
The dollar’s ascent could be the start of a long-term trend.

The US dollar is continuing the rally that began in the middle of last month, benefiting from the caution in financial markets in recent days. Although the current rally has not yet brought the Dollar Index back to the levels.

Another strong US jobs report, but there are worrying moments
Another strong US jobs report, but there are worrying moments.

Ahead of Friday’s official employment report, ADP provided another robust estimate for July. It is said that the private sector added 324K jobs last month, down from 455K the previous month. The pace of hiring rose rather than fell in.

US downgrade will focus attention on other countries
US downgrade will focus attention on other countries.

Fitch Ratings unexpectedly cut the US long-term credit rating by one notch to AA+. In response, markets have begun a gradual but broader risk repricing. The suddenness of Fitch’s move is disconcerting, given that the rating was not under review.

Gold is now choosing its trend
Gold is now choosing its trend.

Gold has been sticking to support at the 50-day moving average since July 13th but has not found enough strength to break away from it. The markets tested the uptrend again last Thursday amid a wave of dollar strength. On.

Eurozone inflation is a persistent challenge
Eurozone inflation is a persistent challenge.

According to Eurostat’s preliminary estimate, eurozone inflation slowed to 5.3% year-on-year in July. This is the lowest rate since January 2022 and aligns with analysts’ expectations. The core index stood at 5.5%, above the headline rate for the first time.

Where Crude oil prices could pop
Where Crude oil prices could pop.

Oil has accelerated its gains over the past week, adding more than 20% to the lows of 28 June, when the latest rally began. Technical factors coming into play and excitement in the markets from robust macro data are adding.

After FOMC: Markets heard just what they wanted
After FOMC: Markets heard just what they wanted.

The Fed raised its key rate by 25 bps to 5.25-5.50%. The upper boundary of this range is the highest in 22 years. The lower boundary corresponds to the plateau level at which the Fed held rates from July 2006.

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