gold-infl
gold-infl

Market Overview - Page 4


The yen launches a counterattack
The yen launches a counterattack.

USDJPY is retreating amid falling yields and a weaker dollar, but the US dollar remains strong on expectations of further Fed tightening.

The dollar’s strengthening calls for a strong hand
The dollar’s strengthening calls for a strong hand.

The dollar is strengthening on expectations of a Fed rate hike and rising yields, whilst the yen’s weakness maintains the risk of intervention at 160 on USDJPY.

Is it time for gold to go on the offensive?
Is it time for gold to go on the offensive?.

Gold is consolidating at $4,250–4,400 as dollar pressure is offset by Asian demand, ETF buying, and central bank buying.

Politics is dragging European currencies down
Politics is dragging European currencies down.

The dollar has risen for 7 sessions (+2%). Political risks weigh on the euro and pound: France’s debt may top 120% of GDP, and the UK budget spooks markets. The yen slips on the BoJ’s lack of urgency.

The US dollar has followed oil higher, again
The US dollar has followed oil higher, again.

The dollar is rising in tandem with oil prices: inflation risks and the prospect of Fed tightening are supporting the USD, whilst political risks in Germany are weighing on the euro.

The S&P 500 is holding up well
The S&P 500 is holding up well.

The S&P 500 stays resilient as a strong economy and solid profits offset Fed tightening, though oil-driven stagflation risks could trigger a correction.

The euro is finding its footing
The euro is finding its footing.

The euro is finding support from reassessments of interest rates by the Fed and the ECB, while the yen's return as a funding currency is helping EURUSD hold its ground.

FX punishes indecision
FX punishes indecision.

The dollar is gaining on the hawkish Fed, slower BoE, and BoJ; USDJPY is nearing the zone where intervention risks rise.

The Fed surprised with its determination to hike; will the BoE do the same?
The Fed surprised with its determination to hike; will the BoE do the same?.

The Fed has raised rates and strengthened the dollar; the Bank of England may respond with a hawkish signal, supporting the pound.

Will the Fed’s hike benefit the dollar?
Will the Fed’s hike benefit the dollar?.

The Fed may begin a hiking cycle; the dollar will only gain ground if the signals are more hawkish; otherwise, a correction is likely.

Crude Oil drives up yields and USD
Crude Oil drives up yields and USD.

The rise in Brent prices, driven by supply disruption risks from Saudi Arabia, is pushing up Treasury yields and the dollar, thereby fuelling inflationary expectations.

The S&P 500 defies uncertainty
The S&P 500 defies uncertainty.

The S&P 500 is rising despite risks from Fed tightening, as markets price in rate hikes, while ETF outflows point to cooling demand.

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