indices
indices

Market Overview - Page 4


The dollar is back in the game
The dollar is back in the game.

Rumours of a breakdown in US-Iran negotiations supported the dollar, while strong US data boosted demand. Rising USDJPY increases the risk of currency intervention in Japan.

The yen braces for a new storm
The yen braces for a new storm.

The Fed may return to rate cuts. The ECB is expected to hike in June. USDJPY near 160: Japan ready to intervene. Gold retreats as yields rise.

Again, technical factors are saving gold from the drop
Again, technical factors are saving gold from the drop.

Gold bounced off $4,400, holding the 200-day average. Conditions look more balanced than in March; a break lower opens the way to $4,000–4,100.

The dollar rose only to fall
The dollar rose only to fall.

The dollar rallied on the escalation, then retreated on news of a US–Iran ceasefire. The ECB to hike in June, the Fed on hold. Monetary divergence weighs on the dollar.

Stock markets keep rising, but momentum slows
Stock markets keep rising, but momentum slows.

Dollar The dollar regained ground as the fragile truce between the US and Iran appeared increasingly unstable. The dollar index moved back towards its April highs, recovering losses seen after the first signs of compromise between the two sides. However,.

The euro is rising on interest rate expectations
The euro is rising on interest rate expectations.

EURUSD rises along with the chances for the ECB’s hike in June. Fed rate hike odds fell below 50%. Aussie under pressure as inflation slows. Yen: Bulls and Bears are evenly matched.

Three scenarios for EURUSD
Three scenarios for EURUSD.

Three EURUSD scenarios: escalation would pressure the euro, a US–Iran deal would weigh on the dollar, and the baseline points to a rollercoaster. The ECB may hike less than expected.

The dollar took a step back amid expectations of a deal
The dollar took a step back amid expectations of a deal.

The dollar weakens amid progress in US-Iran talks. Falling oil prices may prompt the Fed to return to a rate-cut narrative. EURUSD rises on peace hopes.

The economy let the euro down
The economy let the euro down.

Weak business activity in the eurozone and the European Commission’s downward revision of its forecasts are weighing on the euro, supporting the EURUSD downtrend. On the USDJPY front, the risk of Japanese intervention is dampening bullish sentiment ahead of the holidays.

The Fed calmed the markets down
The Fed calmed the markets down.

The Fed is ready to hike if inflation stays above 2%, but the dollar pulled back. Brent is falling on US–Iran talks. Gold is pressured by Russian sales — reserves at a 4-year low.

A new barrier for oil
A new barrier for oil.

Rising bond yields threaten tighter policy and weaker oil demand. The US is boosting exports while China cuts refining, adding pressure on Brent.

Yields are boosting the dollar
Yields are boosting the dollar.

Treasury yields are drawing capital into the dollar from equities. Verbal interventions and expectations of a BoJ rate hike have supported the yen.

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