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Market Overview - Page 123


ECB and Bank of England meetings will highlight policy contrast
ECB and Bank of England meetings will highlight policy contrast.

The Bank of England and the ECB will announce their monetary policy decisions today. They could reinforce the contrast in policy between these central banks and trigger a significant reassessment in the FX market. The ECB is expected to confirm.

Unexpected US jobs drop shows that steep rate rises are not guaranteed
Unexpected US jobs drop shows that steep rate rises are not guaranteed.

According to the latest ADP data, employment in the USA fell by 301K in January. This is sharply weaker than the expected gain of 185K after a rise of 776K in December. The shocking dip is caused by both the.

Hawkish Fed could keep the dollar rising first half of 2022
Hawkish Fed could keep the dollar rising first half of 2022.

At the end of last month, the dollar index renewed 1.5-year highs after confirmation of the Fed’s plans to tighten monetary policy quickly. Since then, the US currency has given up some ground, but for now, there are visible chances.

CPI above expectations pushing EURUSD higher
CPI above expectations pushing EURUSD higher.

In Europe, inflation accelerates, contrary to forecasts that the peak has passed. First estimates just released noted an acceleration in CPI from 5.0% to 5.1% y/y against average estimates of a slowdown to 4.4%. An inflation rate creeping above 5%.

US manufacturing ISM slowed amid more hawkish Fed
US manufacturing ISM slowed amid more hawkish Fed.

The US manufacturing ISM, an essential indicator for America’s business cycle, recorded a significant slowdown in January but managed to beat expectations. It had declined from 58.7 to 57.6 against expectations of 57.4. The manufacturing ISM has slipped in the.

AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 1 February, 2022
AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 1 February, 2022.

• AUDUSD reversed from support zone • Likely to rise to resistance level 0.7150 AUDUSD currency pair recently reversed up with the daily Bullish Engulfing the support zone lying between the round support level 0.7000 (previous monthly low from the start.

New support level in gold
New support level in gold.

Gold is attempting to return to the $1800 area on Tuesday. The bulls do not want the price fixing below this round level, as they want to avoid the markets starting a wider liquidation of long positions in the metal..

Gold Wave Analysis – 31 January, 2022
Gold Wave Analysis – 31 January, 2022.

• Gold reversed from support zone • Likely to rise to resistance level 1810.00 Gold recently reversed up from the support zone lying between the key support level 1780.00 (which reversed the pair at the start of January) and the.

German inflation surprise good for EUR
German inflation surprise good for EUR.

Today we have seen the first slowdown in annual inflation in seven months, but the data is better than expected. In January, consumer prices rose 0.4%, up 4.9% on the same month a year earlier. Analysts, on average, were expecting.

Brent consolidates around $85-105
Brent consolidates around $85-105.

Oil has added more than 14% this month, and Brent spot contracts are trading near $90 a barrel. Steady strengthening has been underway for the past two months after it became clear that the widespread Omicron strain is not leading.

Gold as a fragile hedge against a market drop
Gold as a fragile hedge against a market drop.

Gold is trading near $1840, adding 3.2% from the Jan 7 lows, as a hedge against increased financial market volatility. By comparison, the S&P500 has experienced its worst start to a year in history, losing more than 12% in that.

Moment of truth for Russian Ruble
Moment of truth for Russian Ruble.

The ruble remains under pressure on Monday after four weeks of decline. The USDRUB is above 77.7 and approaching the area of last year’s highs. Technically, the situation looks like a moment of truth for the ruble. An easing of.

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