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Market Overview - Page 96


Inflation at multi-year highs, while BoJ stuck in denial
Inflation at multi-year highs, while BoJ stuck in denial.

Consumer inflation in Japan accelerated to 3.7% in October, repeating 2014 highs and approaching the peak of 4.2% in late 1990. Excluding fresh food, prices rose by 3.6% y/y, the highest since 1982. At the same time, price growth was.

Cooling US housing market
Cooling US housing market.

The number of building permits in the US fell by 2.4% to 1,526K, the lowest since June 2020, and is almost 20% below the peak a year ago. Housing starts fell by 4.2% to 1,425k. During the pandemic, the housing.

Oil sinks
Oil sinks.

WTI oil is trading below $84, near last month’s lows, having failed to experience a buying spurt following the week’s inventory data. While commercial inventories were down 5.4Mln Barrels compared to an expected 2MB decline, oil sales from the Strategic.

Strong US retail sales may support USD
Strong US retail sales may support USD.

According to the latest U.S. Census Bureau estimate, US retail sales rose 1.3% in October. Americans’ purchases rose by 8.4% y/y, although an inflation adjustment (7.7% y/y last month) spoils the impression of a sales boom. On the other hand,.

Silver is one step ahead of Gold
Silver is one step ahead of Gold.

Silver is testing the $22 per ounce mark today and crossed it briefly yesterday. Although Gold marks the fifth consecutive session of back-to-back gains, Silver may have been one step ahead in this market cycle. In early November, the price.

The probable peak of UK Inflation
The probable peak of UK Inflation.

The UK Consumer Price Index delivered another “positive” surprise, adding 2% for October, above the average forecast of 1.7%. Annual inflation accelerated to 11.1% against 10.1% previously and the forecast 10.7%. Inflationary pressures are much stronger here than in the.

US PPI gives more encouraging signals, but markets may have a break
US PPI gives more encouraging signals, but markets may have a break.

Inflation in the USA continues to slow faster than expected. In October, PPI showed a gain of 0.2% m/m and 8.0% y/y against expectations of 0.4% and 8.3%. Producer prices often leads consumer inflation trends. For example, CPI peaked in.

The pound clears the way up
The pound clears the way up.

The British pound is on the offensive, having risen to a three-month high against the dollar thanks to a developing correction in the latter, market stabilisation following the change of government and pro-inflationary news. Jobless claims rose by 3.3K in.

Asia slows more than expected
Asia slows more than expected.

The statistics packages from China and Japan – the largest economies in the Asian region – came out below expectations, highlighting weak domestic demand and production. Japan’s economy lost 0.3% in the third quarter while it was expected to grow.

New signs of slowing inflation in Switzerland
New signs of slowing inflation in Switzerland.

The Swiss Producer and Import Price Index was virtually unchanged in October, slowing down in annual terms to 4.9% against 5.4% a month earlier and against a peak of 5.9% in June. In contrast to its larger eurozone neighbours, the.

Eurozone industrial production: a meaningful boost in September
Eurozone industrial production: a meaningful boost in September.

According to the latest estimates, Eurozone industrial production added 0.9% for September and 4.9% y/y. The figures are much better than the expected +0.1% m/m and 2.8% y/y, showing that the euro-region economy is in no hurry to slip into.

Is dollar growth over? Likely so
Is dollar growth over? Likely so.

The dollar index lost 4% last week, the most significant drop since March 2020. Such powerful moves against the trend often signal a further trend reversal. However, it will probably be a slower pace of decline and not a one-way.

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