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Market Overview - Page 94


Robust eurozone data brought EURUSD back above 1.05
Robust eurozone data brought EURUSD back above 1.05.

The single currency edged against most of its peers on Wednesday and managed to return to territory above 1.05, helped in no small part by published economic data. In the morning, Germany surprised with a less sharp drop in industrial.

Oil seems to be heading for $62
Oil seems to be heading for $62.

WTI crude is down to $73, while Brent is approaching $78, losing 2% since the start of the day and almost 10% since the beginning of the month. Despite rumours about possible quotas cut, OPEC+ keep them for another two.

Covid lockdowns hinders China’s trade
Covid lockdowns hinders China’s trade.

Last month, China’s harsh lockdown measures negatively impacted foreign trade. Exports fell by 8.7% YoY; imports lost 10.6% YoY. Economists, on average, were expecting half the rate of decline. Trade surplus shrank to $69.84B in November from $85.15B a month.

Bitcoin is calmly forming a bottom
Bitcoin is calmly forming a bottom.

Market picture The crypto market remains detached from movements in traditional financial markets. Bitcoin continues to hover around $17K, despite the S&P 500 is down 1.5% and the Nasdaq down 2%. The capitalisation of the entire crypto market is unchanged.

The strength of the US economy spooks markets
The strength of the US economy spooks markets.

Since the end of last month, the inverse dependence of major stock indices on US data has become more pronounced. Following the positive surprise of the November employment report (so-called ‘hard data’), markets received a better-than-expected ‘soft data’ batch. ISM.

Australia not keeping pace with US rate hike
Australia not keeping pace with US rate hike.

The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its key rate by 0.25 percentage points to 3.1% on Tuesday morning, meeting expectations. The current rate level is the highest in 10 years and the eighth consecutive hike, but the RBA has signalled.

ADP warns of a turning point in the labour market
ADP warns of a turning point in the labour market.

According to a new ADP report, the US private sector created 127K new jobs in November – the lowest since January 2021 and significantly below expectations (196K) and past data (239K). The accompanying commentary says that the labour market and.

China slows sharper than expected
China slows sharper than expected.

In addition to the riots against tight covid restrictions since the weekend, China is also facing broader adverse effects of the strict anti-Covenant policy, PMI data shows. The official survey showed the manufacturing index falling from 49.2 to 48.0 –.

Germany’s inflation peak
Germany’s inflation peak.

Germany’s consumer price index fell by 0.5% in November, slowing the year-on-year gain to 10.0%, according to the published Destatis preliminary estimate. The fall exceeded the expected 0.2% m/m decline and maintained the year-over-year rate at 10.4%. We previously pointed.

Lending in Britain slows, weighing on the pound
Lending in Britain slows, weighing on the pound.

The UK’s money supply and credit data showed a much stronger-than-expected slowdown – an important signal of a slowing economy. Broad money supply (M4) was unchanged in October and added 4.8% y/y, significantly below inflation at 11.1% y/y. The money.

Dollar clings to trend
Dollar clings to trend.

The dollar index started on Monday with a pullback and made an impressive reversal, adding 1.3% to the intraday lows. Comments from Fed officials again dashed hopes of an interest rate cut soon. The dollar gained significant support, one step.

WTI Crude is on track towards $50
WTI Crude is on track towards $50.

Oil is losing over 3% on Monday due to concerns about demand in China caused by strengthening lockdowns. Also, demand for risky assets, including oil, declined due to massive protests in China against the zero-covid policy. In addition, the news.

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