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Market Overview - Page 84


Strong US retail sales may support USD
Strong US retail sales may support USD

According to the latest U.S. Census Bureau estimate, US retail sales rose 1.3% in October. Americans’ purchases rose by 8.4% y/y, although an inflation adjustment (7.7% y/y last month) spoils the impression of a sales boom. On the other hand,.

Silver is one step ahead of Gold
Silver is one step ahead of Gold

Silver is testing the $22 per ounce mark today and crossed it briefly yesterday. Although Gold marks the fifth consecutive session of back-to-back gains, Silver may have been one step ahead in this market cycle. In early November, the price.

The probable peak of UK Inflation
The probable peak of UK Inflation

The UK Consumer Price Index delivered another “positive” surprise, adding 2% for October, above the average forecast of 1.7%. Annual inflation accelerated to 11.1% against 10.1% previously and the forecast 10.7%. Inflationary pressures are much stronger here than in the.

US PPI gives more encouraging signals, but markets may have a break
US PPI gives more encouraging signals, but markets may have a break

Inflation in the USA continues to slow faster than expected. In October, PPI showed a gain of 0.2% m/m and 8.0% y/y against expectations of 0.4% and 8.3%. Producer prices often leads consumer inflation trends. For example, CPI peaked in.

The pound clears the way up
The pound clears the way up

The British pound is on the offensive, having risen to a three-month high against the dollar thanks to a developing correction in the latter, market stabilisation following the change of government and pro-inflationary news. Jobless claims rose by 3.3K in.

Asia slows more than expected
Asia slows more than expected

The statistics packages from China and Japan – the largest economies in the Asian region – came out below expectations, highlighting weak domestic demand and production. Japan’s economy lost 0.3% in the third quarter while it was expected to grow.

New signs of slowing inflation in Switzerland
New signs of slowing inflation in Switzerland

The Swiss Producer and Import Price Index was virtually unchanged in October, slowing down in annual terms to 4.9% against 5.4% a month earlier and against a peak of 5.9% in June. In contrast to its larger eurozone neighbours, the.

Eurozone industrial production: a meaningful boost in September
Eurozone industrial production: a meaningful boost in September

According to the latest estimates, Eurozone industrial production added 0.9% for September and 4.9% y/y. The figures are much better than the expected +0.1% m/m and 2.8% y/y, showing that the euro-region economy is in no hurry to slip into.

Is dollar growth over? Likely so
Is dollar growth over? Likely so

The dollar index lost 4% last week, the most significant drop since March 2020. Such powerful moves against the trend often signal a further trend reversal. However, it will probably be a slower pace of decline and not a one-way.

Inflation in Germany is rising, but a peak is near
Inflation in Germany is rising, but a peak is near

The final German inflation data continues to underline the divergence with the USA. This gives a chance for a further EURUSD recovery if the ECB has the strength to hike rates longer than the Fed. The official report today confirmed.

The Nasdaq100 surge is positive, but doubts remain
The Nasdaq100 surge is positive, but doubts remain

On Thursday, we saw one of the most significant intraday moves of the Nasdaq100, which added 7.5%. The move is very similar to what we have seen in November 2020, December 2018, and March 2009: a strong pullback from the.

UK economy softer landing and more solid Pound
UK economy softer landing and more solid Pound

The pound rally gained new momentum on Friday morning, following a respite after the 3% rise in GBPUSD on Thursday. The British currency was supported predominantly by better-than-expected economic data and comments from the Governor of the Bank of England.

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