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Market Overview - Page 86


Dangerously slow US economy
Dangerously slow US economy.

This week’s PMI business activity figures were much weaker than expected, reflecting the impact of the sharpest monetary tightening in more than 40 years on the economy. The ISM’s service sector data attracts the most interest from market participants as.

Rate surprise from New Zealand
Rate surprise from New Zealand.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand made another rate hike of 50 points to 5.25%. Contrary to forecasts of a 25-point rate hike and the global trend towards a slowdown in policy tightening, the RBNZ has not slowed down a.

Crude Oil Bullish Momentum Pauses, But Upside Potential Remains
Crude Oil Bullish Momentum Pauses, But Upside Potential Remains.

Over the weekend, OPEC+ unexpectedly announced a production cut of 1.16 million bpd. Separately, Russia extended its voluntary cut by 0.5 million barrels from March to the end of the year. The unexpected decision caused oil to jump at the.

Dollar preparing to stare into the abyss
Dollar preparing to stare into the abyss.

The dollar index is ending with a decline for the fourth of the last five weeks, almost completely erasing the gains from February’s rise. Although it cannot be ruled out that the quarterly portfolio shakeout will create traction in the.

Bitcoin Adjusting First Quarter Gains
Bitcoin Adjusting First Quarter Gains.

Market picture The crypto market’s capitalisation fell by 1.1% over the past day to 1.17 trillion, which resembles profit-taking after 50% of market growth in the first quarter of this year. Bitcoin underwent an even more active sell-off the night.

The challenge for the ECB: German inflation undefeated
The challenge for the ECB: German inflation undefeated.

Preliminary estimates for Germany indicated an increase in consumer prices in March by 0.8% m/m and 7.4% y/y, which is higher than the average growth forecasts of 0.7% m/m and 7.3% y/y. In March last year, prices jumped by 2%.

S&P500 affirms positive outlook
S&P500 affirms positive outlook.

S&P500 futures are currently trading at a 3-week high. Returning to the territory above 4000 and exiting above the previous week’s highs set up optimism. Since March 13, the S&P500 daily candlesticks have been showing an uptrend. The index is.

UK mortgage market reversal and a bullish pound outlook
UK mortgage market reversal and a bullish pound outlook.

UK credit and money supply data published on Wednesday mostly came out weaker than expected, indicating a continued tightening of financial conditions. The unexpected exception was the number of approved mortgage applications. The M4 unit shrank by 0.4% m/m, contrary.

German consumer climate continues to recover
German consumer climate continues to recover.

The GfK consumer climate index for Germany rose by 1.1 points to -29.5 in April, a very low level by historical standards and still below the lows of the pandemic in the year 2020. Sentiment has been improving since October,.

US house prices continue to fall
US house prices continue to fall.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller house price index for the 20 largest US metropolitan areas fell for the seventh consecutive month in January. The index fell by 6.8% during this period, and the annual growth rate slowed to 2.6%. The annual.

Gold’s step back before breaking $2000
Gold’s step back before breaking $2000.

Gold stormed $2000 twice last week, but both attempts failed to consolidate above this significant round level. The double correction since the previous week clears the way to the upside but does not signal that gold is in trouble. The.

Oil pops up
Oil pops up.

WTI oil is back above $70 on Monday, having gained more than 2% since the start of the day. Today’s short-term impulse is a halt in exports from Iraqi Kurdistan via Turkey. The latter move could be part of a.

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