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Market Overview - Page 51


Gold: not yet overheated
Gold: not yet overheated

Gold is primed for a substantial move, second only to cryptocurrencies in amplitude but lacking their enduring strength. At the end of last week, we saw a swift technical completion of a bullish pattern. Sometimes, gold avoids volatility for weeks,.

Did oil find its way up?
Did oil find its way up?

Oil is correcting 0.2% on Monday after closing almost 2% higher on Friday and peaking at 3.4%. WTI’s high of $80.3, last seen in November 2023, and a consolidation above $79 would indicate a break of long-term horizontal resistance, something.

Gold tries to break through historical resistance 
Gold tries to break through historical resistance 

Gold has gained less than 1% over the past two days, but the gains are significant because they mark a break in the downtrend since late December. Thursday’s and Friday’s gains also reaffirm gold’s ability to rise above its 50-day.

Rising incomes and slowing inflation in the US support the markets 
Rising incomes and slowing inflation in the US support the markets 

This week, the markets were mostly looking forward to the release of the US personal income and spending data, with a focus on the accompanying price index. The Personal Expenditure Price Index, excluding food and energy, rose 0.4% m/m and.

America is stockpiling oil, but prices are stuck 
America is stockpiling oil, but prices are stuck 

America continues to build up its oil reserves, albeit at a relatively slow pace and from a low base. Last week, commercial oil inventories rose by 4.2 million barrels. About ¾ million barrels were added to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve,.

The Kiwi Dollar flies down 
The Kiwi Dollar flies down 

The New Zealand Dollar is down 1.2% since the start of the day on Wednesday due to disappointment with the RBNZ’s actions and comments. The country’s central bank left its key interest rate unchanged at 5.5% and signalled its willingness.

US durable goods orders slumped 
US durable goods orders slumped 

US durable goods orders decreased 6.1% in January after falling 0.3%. The cost of total orders in January was the lowest since September 2022, although it has been quite volatile in recent months due to transportation orders. This was worse than the.

Japanese yen benefits from hopes of change in the BoJ approach 
Japanese yen benefits from hopes of change in the BoJ approach 

Japanese consumer inflation slowed from 2.6% y/y to 2.2% y/y in January. The data was slightly higher than the expected 2.1%, providing temporary support for the Yen, which rose 0.4% after the release, pushing USDJPY back to 150.10.  Prices excluding.

Time for the dollar to choose a trend
Time for the dollar to choose a trend

The Dollar Index is giving up positions painfully slowly. It is under pressure for the ninth session in a row, but at the same time, the market is unable to accelerate or break this downtrend. Individual currency pairs are now.

Where will oil go from this consolidation? 
Where will oil go from this consolidation? 

Oil is down 1.3% since the start of the day on Friday and remains on a tight leash around its 200-day moving average. The previous afternoon, oil managed to resist pressure from a strengthening dollar. It failed to make any.

Dollar turns the tables
Dollar turns the tables

Something important happened in the currency markets on Thursday. The initial and relatively sharp fall of 0.7% in the dollar index was reversed, and now, as trading begins in New York, we are seeing a strengthening to the day’s opening.

Weaker Yen helped Japan return to a trade surplus 
Weaker Yen helped Japan return to a trade surplus 

The impact of the Yen’s fluctuations was evident in the country’s latest external trade report.  On a seasonally adjusted basis, January recorded the highest surplus in three years. The 235B yen ($1.57B) surplus of exports over imports represents 1.3% of total.

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