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Market Overview - Page 40


Sharply deteriorating business sentiment in Germany
Sharply deteriorating business sentiment in Germany.

German business sentiment deteriorated sharply in September, according to ZEW data. The relevant index fell to 3.6, the lowest level since October 2023. The situation was even worse for the component assessing current conditions, which fell to -84.5, the lowest.

Weak Chinese data paves the way for lower yuan
Weak Chinese data paves the way for lower yuan.

Saturday’s statistics from China added to fears of a slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy, forcing the central bank to promise additional measures to lower borrowing costs. This is a fresh attempt to reverse the deteriorating trend in the economy.

Fed rate decision: intrigue returns
Fed rate decision: intrigue returns.

Influential financial media are promoting the need for a 50-basis point rate cut. The Fed’s blackout period starts 10 days before the rate decision is released, so the main influence on the markets during this time comes from traders’ interpretation.

Gold broke through the ceiling
Gold broke through the ceiling.

After three weeks of consolidation, gold moved decisively upwards, hitting a record above $2572 per troy ounce on the spot market on Friday. The price rise has approached 3% since the beginning of the week and 25% since the beginning.

Promising upturn in US indices
Promising upturn in US indices.

US inflation in August was in line with expectations but caused some interesting market movements. The initial reaction was neutral, but then markets began reassessing expectations for the Fed Funds rate. The shift in expectations towards a 25bp cut rather.

Crypto market surpasses milestone
Crypto market surpasses milestone.

Market picture US financial markets closed higher on Wednesday despite a rough start to the day. A strong performance from the technology sector helped the crypto market cross the $2 trillion mark, up 3% in 24 hours. The positive sentiment.

Pound pressured by manufacturing
Pound pressured by manufacturing.

Disappointing economic data from the UK prevented the Pound from rallying despite the Dollar’s weakness. Statistics for July showed that the economy’s volume was almost unchanged from the previous month, much weaker than the expected 0.2% m/m growth. The biggest.

UK job market stronger than expected but weaker than the US
UK job market stronger than expected but weaker than the US.

In the UK, jobless claims rose by 23.7K in August, much better than the 95.5K expected and the 102.3K rise in the previous month. This is relatively positive data as it suggests that the rate of deterioration in the UK.

Brent Crude is fighting for $70
Brent Crude is fighting for $70.

Oil pressure shows no sign of easing, with the price of a barrel of Brent touching lows of $70.50 last Friday and on Monday. The oil price has approached the psychologically important level, as it has traded consistently below $70 for more.

Dollar struggles for a key turning point
Dollar struggles for a key turning point.

After an initial decline, the USD began to rally on the back of US employment data that dampened expectations of a 50-basis point rate cut by the Fed in September. The US employment data, which triggered a fall in the.

Further Unwinding of Carry Trade
Further Unwinding of Carry Trade.

The unwinding of the carry trade in the FX market continues, with the major safe havens returning to the extremes seen against the dollar in early August. A new wave of risk aversion has been synchronised across currency and equity.

US Labour Market: Normalisation, Not Recession
US Labour Market: Normalisation, Not Recession.

Fresh signs of a cooling labour market are boosting confidence in the Fed’s policy turnaround but have so far had a mixed effect on the dynamics of major markets. The labour market is in the spotlight this week as it.

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