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Market Overview - Page 111


Gold and Dollar take a breather, but rally hardly over
Gold and Dollar take a breather, but rally hardly over.

The Dollar is correcting on Thursday morning, losing around 1% from Wednesday’s peak, when the dollar index rose to its highest since May 2020. It has caught our attention that Gold and the Dollar have been moving in tandem since.

A 50-point rate hike has not saved the NZD, CAD from a sell-off
A 50-point rate hike has not saved the NZD, CAD from a sell-off.

Today the central banks of Canada and New Zealand raised their key rates by 50 points at once. New Zealand was not expected to rise sharply, but that did not save the NZD from the ensuing sell-off. A heavy downturn.

Russia’s Crude production slump has brought back the focus on deficit
Russia’s Crude production slump has brought back the focus on deficit.

The price of oil rose more than 6% on Tuesday, with the main driver being news that Russia is sharply cutting its oil production. Reuters sources report a fall in production in the first days of April to 10.32m BPD,.

The pound reacts to rising inflation like EM currency
The pound reacts to rising inflation like EM currency.

Inflation in the UK is developing an acceleration stronger than expected. Estimates for March marked a 1.1% CPI gain for the month, above the 0.8% a month earlier and rebutting analysts’ hopes that the monthly price growth would slow to.

The US CPI gave the market a breather
The US CPI gave the market a breather.

The US consumer price index has updated its record since 1981, accelerating to 8.5% y/y from 7.9% a month earlier and slightly stronger than the 8.4% average analysts forecast. However, yesterday’s White House warning of “extraordinarily elevated” inflation data set.

Without an ECB hawkish turn, EURUSD could go below 1.0
Without an ECB hawkish turn, EURUSD could go below 1.0.

In Germany, the final consumer price index data confirmed that inflation reached 7.3% y/y in March – the highest since 1981. This is a worrying reading, but it is already priced in as it coincided with the preliminary estimates released.

Near-extreme expectations from Fed pull the dollar up, stocks down
Near-extreme expectations from Fed pull the dollar up, stocks down.

Expectations for further moves by the Fed have an increasing impact on markets, pushing the dollar up to extreme highs and pressuring stocks. Futures are laying on an 84% chance of a 50-point rate hike in early May and a.

Gold possibly targets new record highs
Gold possibly targets new record highs.

Gold rose for the third trading session in a row, gaining more than 0.8% since the beginning of the day and reaching five-week highs earlier today at $1969. Previously, for almost a month, gold gained strong support on declines below.

French election a historic test for the euro
French election a historic test for the euro.

Politics is once again temporarily becoming the main driver for the single currency. EURUSD returned to 1.0925 on Monday, gaining 0.8% from Friday’s lows on reports that incumbent Macron is ahead of far-right Le Pen and will potentially get even.

Pound tests 1.3000 again, risks falling to 1.2600
Pound tests 1.3000 again, risks falling to 1.2600.

The British pound returned to the $1.3000 area, a significant circular level from which the British currency bounced in the middle of last month. The bulls continue to hold for the second consecutive trading session. The intraday charts clearly show.

Buffett’s time, not Wood’s
Buffett’s time, not Wood’s.

While one hears in the markets several times a year that “the world will never be the same”, it is easy to see market cyclicality, if not in individual stock names, then in sectors. Over the past 14 months, Katie.

Pound retreats ahead of dollar; could fall to 1.2500
Pound retreats ahead of dollar; could fall to 1.2500.

The US dollar works its way up against European currencies, including the British Pound. After a corrective bounce from March 15th to the 23rd, GBPUSD has returned to the downside. Most worryingly, this decline is coming very evenly. It is.

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