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Market Overview - Page 86


Gold is about to turn up but needs confirmation from Fed
Gold is about to turn up but needs confirmation from Fed

Gold retreated to $1633 by the start of this month, close to the lows of September and October, but gained about 1% surpassing $1650. We saw a similar buying spree the month before, and such buying activity looks like a.

Euro area inflation: the biggest surprise
Euro area inflation: the biggest surprise

Eurostat’s preliminary estimate indicated an acceleration of annual inflation in the euro region from 9.9% immediately to 10.7%. Economists, on average, expected no change, and this difference of 0.8 percentage points is one of the most prominent indicators economists predict.

US personal savings rate nears the historical bottom
US personal savings rate nears the historical bottom

Americans’ Personal spending rose 0.6% in September, the same as a month earlier, while income growth was up 0.4% in each of the two months. Total earnings grew 5.2% YoY, as did earnings, whereas due to a cutback in tax.

Be ready for an L-shaped rather than a V-shaped FAAMG trajectory
Be ready for an L-shaped rather than a V-shaped FAAMG trajectory

Markets will likely remember this week as uncrowning of Techs. On Friday, the failures of Meta, Google, Alphabet and Microsoft were joined by Amazon, whose shares lost more than 20% at one point after the quarterly report. The only bright.

Nasdaq-100 performance to remain in the shadow of Dow Jones for months to come
Nasdaq-100 performance to remain in the shadow of Dow Jones for months to come

The Dow Jones is up 4.6% in the past five days versus 0.7% for the Nasdaq-100. And this divergence in momentum may continue as long as monetary authorities remain in the regime of containing inflation rather than pushing it up.

Key central banks are preparing for a slowdown in rate hikes – now also the ECB
Key central banks are preparing for a slowdown in rate hikes – now also the ECB

As most observers assumed, the ECB raised its key rate by 75 points to 2.0%. These are low rates by modern standards, but the eurozone last saw such rates 14 years ago. Furthermore, the central bank indicated its intention to.

FX interventions kicking USD to correction
FX interventions kicking USD to correction

As we previously warned, major central banks worldwide that hold massive amounts of dollar securities are stepping up interventions to support their national currencies. On Wednesday, China, Japan, and Switzerland resorted to such measures. The UK and India used earlier.

BoC’s smaller-than-expected rate hike not crushing CAD
BoC’s smaller-than-expected rate hike not crushing CAD

There was an important signal today that monetary authorities in North America are ready to ease the pace of policy tightening faster than the market expects. The Bank of Canada raised the rate by 50 points to 3.75%, although analysts,.

Falling house prices in the US – not yet a sign of recession
Falling house prices in the US – not yet a sign of recession

The US housing sector has entered a cooling down phase, giving rise to sometimes very alarmist comments that this is the beginning of a significant collapse, comparable to the failure during the global financial crisis. But we don’t tend to.

Techs losing drive
Techs losing drive

The technology companies that have acted as growth drivers for stock markets in recent years are increasingly losing their leading positions. Although it would be too naive to talk about the “beginning of the end” for the IT giants, the.

EURUSD tries to break the downtrend
EURUSD tries to break the downtrend

EURUSD continues to draw an almost perfect downward trend. Since the end of February, the 50-day moving average has repeatedly acted as resistance. This week we see another test of this line, which has fallen to the area of 0.9900..

German Business Climate: steadily grim
German Business Climate: steadily grim

The Ifo Business Climate Index from Germany was above expectations in October – slightly down from 84.4 a month earlier to 84.3. The index components’ current situation and business expectations also marginally changed. But the overall level shows that the.

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