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Market Overview - Page 59


The Swiss franc’s uncomfortable altitude
The Swiss franc’s uncomfortable altitude.

The Swiss franc hit nearly nine-year highs against the dollar on Friday, adding over 6.2% YTD and 8% YTD. If we exclude the period of abnormal volatility on 15 January 2015, EURCHF rewrote historic lows, falling just a couple of.

The pound is rising as traders only focus on the positive
The pound is rising as traders only focus on the positive.

Fresh data from the UK painted a mixed economic picture, but the market, in line with the trends of recent days, paid attention only to the positive data. The bright side was a 1.3% increase in retail sales for November.

Soft inflation has pressed the Pound, but hardly the BoE
Soft inflation has pressed the Pound, but hardly the BoE.

Britain’s impressive slowdown in inflation has increased speculation around a rate cut next year. The headline consumer price index lost 0.2% in November, and the annual rate slowed from 4.6% to 3.9% – impressively below the expected 4.3%. Inflation excluding.

Crude Oil is gaining but has yet to prove an upturn
Crude Oil is gaining but has yet to prove an upturn.

Oil has been gaining for the past week after briefly dipping into the area of the lows of the year. Oil was up amid Red Sea tankers’ attacks, a crucial trade route that accounts for about 30% of trade turnover..

Germany’s Business Climate Worsens Despite Cheaper Energy
Germany’s Business Climate Worsens Despite Cheaper Energy.

Germany’s business climate, according to the Ifo Institute, deteriorated in December instead of the expected improvement, providing further evidence that the manufacturing sector is struggling. The business climate indicator fell from 87.2 to 86.4 instead of the expected increase to.

Bulls quickly returned to crypto
Bulls quickly returned to crypto.

Market Picture The second half of Monday proved to be for the bulls in cryptocurrencies, triggering a 3.5% rise in capitalisation over the last 24 hours to $1.61 trillion. Daily updates of all-time highs in US stock indices support the.

The Market’s Move Back to Reality May Heal the Dollar
The Market’s Move Back to Reality May Heal the Dollar.

The Dollar made a crucial technical breakdown the previous week following a public admission from the Fed of a policy reversal. The Fed’s comments and subsequent press conference pressed the Dollar index under its 200-day moving average. The decline continued.

Bank of England Hawks Extend the Pound’s Rally
Bank of England Hawks Extend the Pound’s Rally.

The Fed’s dovish attitude, for now, hasn’t extended too far into Europe. The Bank of England kept its key rate unchanged at 5.25%, with three of the nine members voting in favour of a quarter-point hike. In a commentary on.

Have Markets Reached a Peak? Probably Not Yet
Have Markets Reached a Peak? Probably Not Yet.

The Fed expectedly kept the key rate at the highest level in 22 years in the 5.25%-5.50% range but kicked off a powerful rally in equities and dollar sell-off with a dramatic change in rhetoric. Despite the tight monetary conditions,.

Weak PPI Is Another Excuse for the Fed to Stay Pat
Weak PPI Is Another Excuse for the Fed to Stay Pat.

US producer prices came out weaker than expected, increasing speculation that the Fed may soon turn to policy easing, causing pressure on the dollar.  The overall and core producer price indices showed zero change for November and slowed from 1.2%.

Economic Sentiment in Germany Is Improving but Slowly
Economic Sentiment in Germany Is Improving but Slowly.

Fresh business sentiment assessments from ZEW saw the sentiment index rise from 9.8 to 12.8, a positive surprise for analysts who had anticipated a slight decline to 9.6. The current optimism level is the highest since March this year but.

Is the UK Labour Market Cool Enough for the BoE?
Is the UK Labour Market Cool Enough for the BoE?.

The UK labour market is cooling, showing an increase in claims from claimants. In addition, wage growth is slowing. The data provided further evidence that the UK economy has moved into a new phase of the economic cycle, although the.

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