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Market Overview - Page 48


EURUSD Has Bucked the Trend, Threatening to Fall Below Parity 
EURUSD Has Bucked the Trend, Threatening to Fall Below Parity 

EURUSD is losing 1.9% from Wednesday’s peak to a five-month low at 1.0650. US inflation data and ECB comments highlight the divergence of Fed and ECB monetary policy.  Wednesday’s US inflation report appears to have set the trend for the.

Strong inflation jumpstarts the dollar
Strong inflation jumpstarts the dollar

US inflation once again beat expectations, causing markets to further discount the chances of an easing cycle starting in June. The dollar responded with a 1% rise against a basket of major currencies, taking the DXY back to 104.80. The.

US CPI for March is another chance to set the trend for USD
US CPI for March is another chance to set the trend for USD

Financial markets ended last year with expectations of six Fed rate cuts totalling 1.5 percentage points. Speculation has been circulating in recent days that there may be no cuts at all in this one. In the previous three years, a.

Gold temporarily ignores negative news
Gold temporarily ignores negative news

Gold has been hitting all-time highs almost daily for the past two weeks, reaching $2365 in the spot market on Tuesday before the start of US trading. The ability to rise above $2070 per ounce, which gold found in late.

NFP report was ideal for stocks 
NFP report was ideal for stocks 

The US economy continues to create jobs above expectations. Employment grew by 303k in March versus 270k previously, and 200K expected. Over ten years, the average monthly gain is 170k, and a gain of 190-200k per month is associated with.

Strong NFP could deepen correction in stocks & support the dollar 
Strong NFP could deepen correction in stocks & support the dollar 

The monthly jobs report has enough potential for the market to set the trend for the coming weeks. However, there is also a risk that the extensive list of indicators, from employment change and unemployment rate to the pace of.

CHF renewed its decline on weak inflation
CHF renewed its decline on weak inflation

Weak Swiss inflation renewed the downward momentum of the franc, which is losing over 0.5% against the euro, sending EURCHF to highs last seen in May 2023.  The Swiss Consumer Price Index was virtually unchanged for March, with annual inflation.

Gold Too Hot
Gold Too Hot

Overnight, the gold price briefly exceeded $2300, recording another round level, not counting an update of the all-time high. This is an occasion to assess gold’s prospects, which are becoming a little less unambiguous.  Touching the level of $2300 marked.

ADP surprises with accelerating US wage growth
ADP surprises with accelerating US wage growth

Ahead of Friday’s employment report, we turn our attention to other labour market releases. ADP’s estimates for March showed private sector employment rising by 184K, the highest since July 2023 and above the expected 150K. In a commentary on the.

US indices are testing the uptrend’s strength 
US indices are testing the uptrend’s strength 

The US markets start the new quarter with a decline and are already testing the support of the uptrend.  The S&P500 index is moving in a rather narrow uptrend from the January lows. The index tested the lower boundary of.

EURUSD gets set to go
EURUSD gets set to go

The slowdown in German inflation is fuelling hopes that the ECB will ease policy in the coming months. German CPI rose 0.4% m/m, weaker than the 0.5% expected. Annual inflation slowed from 2.5% in February to 2.2% in March, the.

Oil clears way for growth above $90 
Oil clears way for growth above $90 

Oil prices have been hitting five-month highs, and every trading session has been rising since 27 March. The price of a barrel of WTI reached $84.6 at the start of the day on Tuesday before retreating slightly by midday in.

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