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Market Overview - Page 29


Why is EURUSD falling even though the Fed has softened its rhetoric?
Why is EURUSD falling even though the Fed has softened its rhetoric?.

Falling EURUSD reflects trade flows, tariffs, and weak EU fundamentals despite the Fed’s easing prospects; parity or new lows are possible if trends persist.

Declining home prices in the US are currently bad news for the dollar
Declining home prices in the US are currently bad news for the dollar.

US home prices have declined for three months, signalling market cooling. This trend pressures the Fed to lower rates and is negative for the dollar in the current cycle.

Euro shot up, only to come down
Euro shot up, only to come down.

In Jackson Hole last week, the Fed chairman said that a weak labour market would slow down inflation, which is rising due to tariffs. The central bank could now throw the US economy a lifeline in the form of monetary.

What is ahead: US PCE and German CPI
What is ahead: US PCE and German CPI.

The main economic calendar events for the last week of August will be the release of data on US GDP for the second quarter, the personal consumption expenditure index, and the trade balance for July. Investors will be interested in.

The tedious seesaw for gold is about to end
The tedious seesaw for gold is about to end.

Gold is consolidating; Fed policy, central bank demand, and geopolitics will decide the next trend. August could spark a breakout.

The dollar finds its footing, but the Fed holds the cards
The dollar finds its footing, but the Fed holds the cards.

The US dollar gained amid decreased chances of a Fed Rate cut in September, but much depends on Powell & Co.'s comments and how they interpret the recent data.

Surprise from Flash PMI in the eurozone allowed the euro to continue its fight
Surprise from Flash PMI in the eurozone allowed the euro to continue its fight.

Eurozone PMI boosted EURUSD above its 50-day MA. Market awaits Powell’s speech; EURUSD likely stays near 1.1650.

Nasdaq100: It is OK to compare AI-mania to the dot-com bubble, but it is not bursting yet
Nasdaq100: It is OK to compare AI-mania to the dot-com bubble, but it is not bursting yet.

Nasdaq100's decline is driven by less dovish rate expectations and waning AI euphoria, but past patterns suggest corrections may lead to growth, not a global sell-off.

The US construction sector has slowed to a five-year low
The US construction sector has slowed to a five-year low.

US construction permits fell to a 5-year low, signalling a slowing housing market. Median new home prices dropped to $401,800, highlighting ongoing downward trends.

The US dollar is gradually forming an uptrend
The US dollar is gradually forming an uptrend.

The US dollar is showing signs of recovery due to inflation risks and shifting trade flows, but a lasting uptrend will only be clear if DXY surpasses 100.

Cryptocurrency market nervousness grows
Cryptocurrency market nervousness grows.

The crypto market dips as BTC tests $114.7k and ETH $4,200. Capital inflows surge, but large holders lock in profits. Solana hits a record TPS in a stress test.

The eurozone’s trade surplus fell sharply on exports
The eurozone’s trade surplus fell sharply on exports.

Eurozone trade surplus dropped to lowest since May 2023 as exports fell and imports rose. This may push the ECB to maintain an easier monetary policy.

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