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Market Overview - Page 21


Debt market drives currencies again: sterling is the victim of the day
Debt market drives currencies again: sterling is the victim of the day.

Britain’s pound and FTSE100 fell as rising bond yields fuel fiscal concerns; investor flight boosts the dollar’s strength as a safe haven.

Market regime change: Microsoft weakening whilst Alphabet strengthens
Market regime change: Microsoft weakening whilst Alphabet strengthens.

There was a notable market shift during August, as Microsoft went down 7.5% while Alphabet went up 13%. Both stocks face possible short-term corrections, but this could make it attractive to buy on a dip.

Gold may be targeting $4,500, silver $50
Gold may be targeting $4,500, silver $50.

Gold eyes $4,500, silver targets $50 as traders show confidence, and platinum is poised for growth. However, caution is urged as historic highs may trigger profit-taking.

The crypto market continues to send alarming signals
The crypto market continues to send alarming signals.

Crypto sentiment weakens, BTC nears key support, ETF inflows rise, and TRON cuts fees as Tether dominance drops below 60%.

What is ahead: EU CPI, US NFP
What is ahead: EU CPI, US NFP.

Key events next week include euro area inflation flash estimates, PMI Manufacturing and Services and Nonfarm Payrolls.

Inflation in the US will not make the Fed’s rate cut in September comfortable
Inflation in the US will not make the Fed’s rate cut in September comfortable.

US inflation is rising but matches forecasts; consumer spending and income remain healthy. The Fed may still cut rates in September, pending jobs data.

Gold approached the upper limit of the 4-month trading range
Gold approached the upper limit of the 4-month trading range.

Gold is trading above $3,400 again at the end of the week. The upper limit of the trading range, within which the price has been fluctuating since April, is close to $3,430. Jerome Powell’s signals about a rate cut, unprecedented.

While the dollar is confused, the S&P 500 faces NVIDIA’s rebalancing threat
While the dollar is confused, the S&P 500 faces NVIDIA’s rebalancing threat.

US dollar The US dollar has been consolidating for more than two weeks. Pressure on the USD index is being exerted by the increased likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September, from 69% to 85%, following Jerome Powell’s dovish.

Slow cooling of the US labour market
Slow cooling of the US labour market.

US labour market cools as unemployment claims rise, signalling slowing economic activity and hinting at possible need for monetary policy easing

Why is EURUSD falling even though the Fed has softened its rhetoric?
Why is EURUSD falling even though the Fed has softened its rhetoric?.

Falling EURUSD reflects trade flows, tariffs, and weak EU fundamentals despite the Fed’s easing prospects; parity or new lows are possible if trends persist.

Declining home prices in the US are currently bad news for the dollar
Declining home prices in the US are currently bad news for the dollar.

US home prices have declined for three months, signalling market cooling. This trend pressures the Fed to lower rates and is negative for the dollar in the current cycle.

Euro shot up, only to come down
Euro shot up, only to come down.

In Jackson Hole last week, the Fed chairman said that a weak labour market would slow down inflation, which is rising due to tariffs. The central bank could now throw the US economy a lifeline in the form of monetary.

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