Categories: Market Overview

Weaker-than-expected Australian PPI has cooled the Aussie

Australian inflation remains an important topic for the forex market as it tries to determine the central bank’s next steps in monetary policy. In contrast to the consumer inflation figures released earlier in the week, producer prices were surprised with weak growth. They rose 0.7% last quarter (1.7% was expected), with the annual rate slowing from 6.4% to 5.8%.

With producer inflation outpacing consumer inflation, it is reasonable to expect inflationary pressures to ease in the next quarter. Interestingly, the PPI growth rate in Australia is lower than that of the CPI. The former peaked at 6.4% in the 3Q22 quarter, and the latter – at 7.8% in 4Q22.

This willingness (and ability) of retailers to pass on costs to consumers is due to strong domestic demand, which the central bank can counter by raising interest rates further to cool domestic demand and an overheated labour market.

The cooling of producer inflation strengthens the argument that another 25bp hike at the next meeting on 7 February will be sufficient. On the other hand, the high increase in consumer prices suggests that there will be several hikes before the RBA pauses.

Today’s data from Australia halted the AUDUSD’s growth above 0.7130 and dropped the pair below 0.7100. From here, the pair also reversed to a decline in August.

The FxPro Analyst Team

AddThis Website Tools
The FxPro Analyst Team

Our team consists of financial market experts. Our dedicated professionals prepare reviews on the foreign exchange market situation, Crude Oil, Gold and Stock Indices. All the analysts are regularly published in the world leading economic media.

Share
Published by
The FxPro Analyst Team
Tags: audusd

Recent Posts

NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 19 March 2025

NZDUSD: ⬇️ Sell - NZDUSD reversed from the resistance level 0.5820 - Likely to fall…

2 hours ago

EURUSD Wave Analysis – 19 March 2025

EURUSD: ⬇️ Sell - EURUSD reversed from resistance level 1.0930 - Likely to fall to…

2 hours ago

Ethereum gives way

The crypto market remains in a downtrend, with Ethereum losing market share while Bitcoin's share…

7 hours ago

GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 18 March 2025

GBPUSD: ⬆️ Buy - GBPUSD reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance…

20 hours ago

GBPAUD Wave Analysis – 18 March 2025

GBPAUD: ⬆️ Buy - GBPAUD reversed from the support zone - Likely to rise to…

20 hours ago

Solana Wave Analysis – 18 March 2025

Solana: ⬇️ Sell - Solana reversed from the resistance zone - Likely to fall to…

22 hours ago