The US Initial claims number has been increasing for the second consecutive week, with a recent report showing 778K for the week to November 21 vs 748K a week earlier and expectations of a decline to 732K. The upward turn in this indicator threatens the sustainability of data improvement in response to record US morbidity rates.
Deterioration in weekly operational data also threatens the sustainability of the recovery, as we saw in previous monthly indicators.
The total number of claims fell to 6.071M in the week to November 14 (-299K), but the maintenance of the downward trend is at risk amid initial claims continuing to rise.
Traders should bear in mind that the number of continued claims is now 3.5 times higher than before the pandemic. Suspending the return to normal may suppress the recent market optimism, or pause it until the NFP reports are published at the end of next week and contain the retreat of the dollar.
The FxPro Analyst Team
- Nasdaq 100 reversed from strong support level 21000.00 - Likely to rise to resistance…
- USDJPY reversed from key support level 156.35 - Likely to rise to resistance level…
The recent declines in US indices may have broken the bullish trend, indicated by technical…
The dollar has paused its strengthening, as weaker-than-expected inflation data reduces fear of future Fed…
Bitcoin finds support near the 50-day moving average, but further declines in the stock market…
- EURCHF falling inside minor impulse wave 5 - Likely to fall to support level…
This website uses cookies