Categories: Market Overview

The dollar unstoppable for now

The dollar continues to rise on speculation of policy changes following the US election. The Dollar Index rose above 105.5 on Monday – its highest level since early July – before easing slightly in trading.

The main contributors to the index’s strength are weakness in the single currency and the Japanese yen. In both cases, there is a cocktail of political uncertainty and fears that Trump’s protectionist policies will hurt EU and Japanese exporters.

The EURUSD has pulled back to the 1.0650 area. Over the past 12 months, it has only traded below this level for a few days in April. The pair reversed sharply from the 1.20 area after the so-called Trump trade began in early October.

Now that the Republicans have indeed come to power, we should expect further declines in the pair. The next important milestone on the way down is the 1.05 area, where we should expect a global shakeout, as this is historically the most important pivot area for the EURUSD. In 2022 and 2000, a break below 1.05 opened the door to a move well below parity. Conversely, if the EURUSD bulls can defend this level, the rally could be long and high.

USDJPY jumped 0.8% on Monday, back to last week’s local highs at 154. The pair has risen more than 10% from the mid-September lows and has made intra-week highs for ten consecutive weeks. The drivers were first disappointed with the pace of monetary tightening, then the Trump trade. Political reshuffles following the surprise defeat of the ruling party and uncertainty about further rate hikes have also played a role.

If we consider the 14% drop in USDJPY from 162 to 139 as a correction of the rise since the beginning of 2020, the new upside momentum promises to end closer to 200. However, only the passivity of the Treasury and the BoJ in breaching the 162 level will confirm the end of this monumental scenario.

The FxPro Analyst Team

The FxPro Analyst Team

Our team consists of financial market experts. Our dedicated professionals prepare reviews on the foreign exchange market situation, Crude Oil, Gold and Stock Indices. All the analysts are regularly published in the world leading economic media.

Share
Published by
The FxPro Analyst Team
Tags: eurjpyusd

Recent Posts

GBPCAD Wave Analysis 21 November 2024

- GBPCAD broke support zone - Likely to fall to support level 1.7500 GBPCAD currency…

7 hours ago

EURCHF Wave Analysis 21 November 2024

- EURCHF under bearish pressure - Likely to fall to support level 0.9250 EURCHF under…

7 hours ago

Natural Gas Wave Analysis 20 November 2024

- Natural gas broke the multi-month resistance level 3.150 - Likely to rise to resistance…

1 day ago

Coca-Cola Wave Analysis 20 November 2024

Coca-Cola reversed from support level 61.35 Likely to rise to resistance level 64.00 Coca-Cola earlier…

1 day ago

The pound falls despite an acceleration in inflation

UK inflation accelerated to 2.3%, its highest level since March, but this did not boost…

2 days ago

The crypto market loses some spark

The cryptocurrency market cap is up 0.3% in 24 hours. Bitcoin reached new all-time highs…

2 days ago

This website uses cookies