Despite all the back and forth between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping’s negotiating teams, the U.S. and China will ultimately come to a trade agreement, according to one investor. When that happens, markets could soar 15 percent or more for the rest of the year, said Jackson Wong, associate director at Huarong International Securities.
“The rumor is (that by the) end of April, the deal would be 90 percent done. And, by end June, (the) deal would be signed,” Wong told CNBC’s “Street Signs” on Friday. Wong’s prediction follows the market rally that began at the beginning of this year, roughly coinciding with investors’ increasing expectations that a U.S.-China trade deal could be inked.
“Now the investors in China or around the world are expecting a deal to be done. They have been expecting since the end of last year. So I think the market has been rallying from that point on,” he said. The ongoing rally, he said, may continue a bit, but there is also a chance it could “consolidate around the current level for about maybe a few weeks.” From there, Wong said, markets will be set for another leg up once Trump and Xi reach an accord.
The negotiations are focused on both reducing the U.S. trade deficit with China and eliminating some of the systemic impediments to foreign firms succeeding in Asia’s largest economy. Wong acknowledged that there have been differences of opinion on both sides, but he said he remains positive that both parties will be able to reach a consensus.
Investor: The US and China will reach a deal, then markets will jump 15%, CNBC, Mar 22
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