Categories: Market Overview

A jump in consumer spending may be bad news for US indices

Personal spending by Americans in July points to increased risks of a return to inflation. Consumer spending rose 0.8% in July, following a 0.7% increase a month earlier. Meanwhile, incomes rose 0.2% in July and 0.3% in June. Disposable personal income was unchanged in July after increasing 0.2% a month earlier.

As a result, personal savings fell to 3.5% of income, the lowest since last October, down from 4.7% two months ago.

These are signs of inflationary pressures in the US, contrary to the slump in many commodity prices that fuelled inflation last year. The price index accelerated growth from 3.0% to 3.3% in July. The core index accelerated from 4.1% to 4.2%— a turn upward from double the levels of the Fed’s 2% target.

The conventional wisdom is that stronger-than-expected spending growth is good news for the dollar and (often) the stock market, demonstrating buyer confidence. For the dollar, that rule of thumb remains valid. But it could be bad news for the stocks, pressing down expectations that the Fed Funds rate has already peaked.

The FxPro Analyst Team

The FxPro Analyst Team

Our team consists of financial market experts. Our dedicated professionals prepare reviews on the foreign exchange market situation, Crude Oil, Gold and Stock Indices. All the analysts are regularly published in the world leading economic media.

Share
Published by
The FxPro Analyst Team
Tags: usd

Recent Posts

Nasdaq 100 Wave Analysis 23 December 2024

- Nasdaq 100 reversed from strong support level 21000.00 - Likely to rise to resistance…

5 hours ago

USDJPY Wave Analysis 23 December 2024

- USDJPY reversed from key support level 156.35 - Likely to rise to resistance level…

5 hours ago

US indices: has the bullish trend broken?

The recent declines in US indices may have broken the bullish trend, indicated by technical…

10 hours ago

Dollar: Slowing Momentum, Same Direction

The dollar has paused its strengthening, as weaker-than-expected inflation data reduces fear of future Fed…

15 hours ago

Bitcoin Fell Back to Local Support

Bitcoin finds support near the 50-day moving average, but further declines in the stock market…

16 hours ago

EURCHF Wave Analysis 20 December 2024

- EURCHF falling inside minor impulse wave 5 - Likely to fall to support level…

3 days ago

This website uses cookies