π US equities are riding a powerful year end rally and Wall Street confidence is running high.
π The S&P 500 is closing out a strong Christmas rally, with major banks forecasting another 9 percent gain in 2026. Not a single bear appears among top strategists, as the index has climbed nearly 90 percent since its October 2022 lows and could be heading for a rare fourth straight year of gains.
π History supports the optimism. When the Christmas rally holds, January and the following 12 months have typically delivered solid returns, reinforcing bullish expectations for the year ahead.
β οΈ Yet risks remain. Political uncertainty around tariffs, unpredictable Fed policy and questions about economic resilience continue to cloud the outlook. Confidence in artificial intelligence has also softened, as investors question whether massive AI spending will deliver real returns, even as competition intensifies and capital flows shift.
π Global markets are sending mixed signals. Foreign equities outperformed US stocks in 2025, raising concerns that investors may begin rotating away from America if cracks appear in the tech led rally.
Is the market setting up for another historic run, or are the warning signs of a 2026 correction starting to emerge?
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