π The Nasdaq 100 is attempting to recover after its biggest selloff since April 2025. Falling Treasury yields, earnings expectations and seasonal trends are supporting stocks, but investors face a key question: will the market rebound or continue to decline?
π The earnings season has started weakly, with only 48% of reporting S&P 500 companies beating expectations, compared with the usual 61%. Upcoming results from Netflix, Meta and Tesla could reveal whether investment in artificial intelligence is starting to cool.
π€ Technology accounts for around 70% of expected S&P 500 profits, making the market vulnerable to any slowdown in AI investment. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields have climbed to levels not seen since 2002, increasing financing costs and pressuring tech stocks.
π¦ Falling yields have helped stabilise the Nasdaq 100, but rising oil prices, inflation and Federal Reserve policy remain key risks. Could the Nasdaq 100 be heading for a recovery, or is another downturn ahead?
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