🟢 Global stock markets rebounded after comments from Donald Trump suggested the conflict with Iran could end sooner than expected. The shift helped lift investor sentiment after weeks of heavy selling across global equities.
📉 Despite recent volatility, the bullish mindset remains strong. The S&P 500 has delivered double digit gains for three straight years, reinforcing the popular “buy the dip” strategy among investors.
🛢️ Oil prices remain the key risk. According to Capital Economics, prolonged Middle East tensions could push crude as high as $150 per barrel before stabilizing near $130, raising inflation risks.
📊 Analysts are becoming more cautious. Yardeni Research raised the probability of a stock market crash this year from 20% to 35%, while JPMorgan Chase has turned tactically bearish.
🌍 If the conflict drags on, rising oil prices could increase the risk of stagflation, a mix of slower growth and higher inflation, which historically weighs on stocks like the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite.
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