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Market Overview - Page 8


Surprisingly soft US PPI has boosted optimism on interest rates
Surprisingly soft US PPI has boosted optimism on interest rates

US PPI fell 0.1% in August, with yoy growth slowed to 2.6%. Markets expect more Fed rate cuts; odds of three or more cuts by year-end rose to 74% from 43% last week.

Low inflation in China supports the yuan
Low inflation in China supports the yuan

Deflation persists in China, making room to stimulate the economy, and without these measures, conditions are created for the Chinese yuan to strengthen.

The dollar tests the strength of its 13-year growth trend
The dollar tests the strength of its 13-year growth trend

The US dollar finds itself at a crossroads during a rather dangerous season, when markets often form trends for the coming months.

Don’t expect much from the Fed while markets are at their highs
Don’t expect much from the Fed while markets are at their highs

US job growth slows, market expects Fed rate cuts, but high inflation and Fed caution may limit the pace. Volatility in equities and FX could impact further decisions.

What is next: US CPI, ECB Rate
What is next: US CPI, ECB Rate

The ECB likely will hold at 2%, and the US CPI may rise to 2.8%. Rate cuts depend on inflation data; a slowdown could weaken the USD and boost stocks. Investors will watch Lagarde's remarks.

Markets build confidence in Fed easing
Markets build confidence in Fed easing

The dollar remains a safe haven amid global debt fears and political unrest. US job data and Fed rate cut expectations weigh on markets, and the S&P 500 remains volatile.

Ahead of NFP: slowdown, but still growth in the US jobs market
Ahead of NFP: slowdown, but still growth in the US jobs market

The US job market shows a slowdown: fewer openings, planned layoffs near 900,000 YTD, private jobs up 54k, and analysts expect NFP around 75–130k; Fed rate cuts are possible.

News from OPEC prevents oil prices from rising
News from OPEC prevents oil prices from rising

Oil came under pressure on Wednesday, losing more than 2% on reports by Bloomberg that OPEC+ plans to raise quotas again at its next meeting. Last month, the cartel removed all additional self-imposed restrictions that major producers such as Saudi.

Gold broke out of its tedious range
Gold broke out of its tedious range

Gold has hit a new high due to trade uncertainty, the Fed's rate cuts, and central banks' bullion purchases. The Federal Appeals Court's ruling on tariffs and geopolitical tensions have also boosted demand for gold

Debt market drives currencies again: sterling is the victim of the day
Debt market drives currencies again: sterling is the victim of the day

Britain’s pound and FTSE100 fell as rising bond yields fuel fiscal concerns; investor flight boosts the dollar’s strength as a safe haven.

Market regime change: Microsoft weakening whilst Alphabet strengthens
Market regime change: Microsoft weakening whilst Alphabet strengthens

There was a notable market shift during August, as Microsoft went down 7.5% while Alphabet went up 13%. Both stocks face possible short-term corrections, but this could make it attractive to buy on a dip.

Gold may be targeting $4,500, silver $50
Gold may be targeting $4,500, silver $50

Gold eyes $4,500, silver targets $50 as traders show confidence, and platinum is poised for growth. However, caution is urged as historic highs may trigger profit-taking.

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