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Market Overview - Page 35


US data: Stubborn inflation vs jobs warning bell
US data: Stubborn inflation vs jobs warning bell

US inflation slightly exceeded expectations, but a surge in jobless claims shifted attention to the need for further policy easing. The dollar remained largely unchanged after conflicting economic data was released.

US inflation will determine the dollar’s next move
US inflation will determine the dollar’s next move

The US dollar is on the rise, gaining almost daily against major currencies, driven by a shift in expectations for the Federal Reserve's key rate. Strong data, including a notable jobs report, has bolstered optimism about the US economy.

The rising dollar spooked crypto
The rising dollar spooked crypto

The cryptocurrency market lost 2.2% in 24 hours to $2.13 trillion, continuing to slide despite the S&P500 index making a solid update to all-time highs. Bitcoin lost over 3%, testing support of 50-day MA.

RBNZ accelerated policy easing, knocking out NZD
RBNZ accelerated policy easing, knocking out NZD

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 4.75%, following a 25 basis point cut in August. Explaining its decision, the RBNZ noted that inflation was approaching 2%, the midpoint of the.

Rising Treasury yields attract dollar interest
Rising Treasury yields attract dollar interest

The Dollar Index has been rising since the end of September, tracking US long-term bond yields after the Fed's easing. Although monetary easing is normally a bearish factor, the current dynamic is supportive of the dollar. Rising yields have revived dollar buying, leading to a 2.

Germany’s manufacturing rebound doesn’t change the gloomy picture
Germany’s manufacturing rebound doesn’t change the gloomy picture

Germany's industrial production index jumped 2.9% in August, almost recovering from a similar drop in the previous month. This data, above the expected 0.8% rise, nominally supports the euro-dollar exchange rate on Tuesday, as does the positive surprise in the Sentix index on Monday.

Oil on the Rise: growth drivers and risks
Oil on the Rise: growth drivers and risks

Market picture: Oil is on the rise, having turned upwards after a brief dip below $70/bbl Brent. The bullish influence of technical factors, such as a significant round level and accumulated oversold conditions, can only be discussed when we are.

Dollar Growth or Just a Rebound? NFP Holds the Key
Dollar Growth or Just a Rebound? NFP Holds the Key

The Dollar Index is rising for the fourth consecutive day, gaining over 1.7%, and is about to test its 50-day moving average. The divergence between the price and the RSI indicates that the downward momentum has been exhausted and that there is upside potential towards 104-107.

The Hang Seng Is Too Hot Now, but Long-Term Attractive
The Hang Seng Is Too Hot Now, but Long-Term Attractive

The Hang Seng is up 9.6% from its closing level on 30th September, the second strongest rise since the surge on 16th March 2022. The daily RSI is approaching 91, the highest since 1987, indicating a possible local correction.

Slowing inflation in Germany and Italy could soften ECB’s bias
Slowing inflation in Germany and Italy could soften ECB’s bias

Inflation in Germany and Italy is slowing faster than expected, setting the stage for a slowdown in the eurozone as a whole and clearing the way for further and more aggressive rate cuts. Germany’s consumer price index slowed to 1.6%.

Dovish US Data But Improving Economic Picture
Dovish US Data But Improving Economic Picture

The core US personal consumption price index (the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) rose slightly less than expected to show inflation at 2.7% y/y. The indicator is above the target of 2% in February 2021 and accelerated with 2.6% in the.

The wild part of the gold rally
The wild part of the gold rally

Gold has hit all-time highs on each of the last six trading days, reaching $2685. The price has broken above the 161.8% Fibonacci level and the RSI is close to the 80 level on the weekly timeframe, indicating overbought conditions.

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