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Market Overview - Page 16


What is next: US CPI, ECB Rate
What is next: US CPI, ECB Rate.

The ECB likely will hold at 2%, and the US CPI may rise to 2.8%. Rate cuts depend on inflation data; a slowdown could weaken the USD and boost stocks. Investors will watch Lagarde's remarks.

Markets build confidence in Fed easing
Markets build confidence in Fed easing.

The dollar remains a safe haven amid global debt fears and political unrest. US job data and Fed rate cut expectations weigh on markets, and the S&P 500 remains volatile.

Ahead of NFP: slowdown, but still growth in the US jobs market
Ahead of NFP: slowdown, but still growth in the US jobs market.

The US job market shows a slowdown: fewer openings, planned layoffs near 900,000 YTD, private jobs up 54k, and analysts expect NFP around 75–130k; Fed rate cuts are possible.

News from OPEC prevents oil prices from rising
News from OPEC prevents oil prices from rising.

Oil came under pressure on Wednesday, losing more than 2% on reports by Bloomberg that OPEC+ plans to raise quotas again at its next meeting. Last month, the cartel removed all additional self-imposed restrictions that major producers such as Saudi.

Gold broke out of its tedious range
Gold broke out of its tedious range.

Gold has hit a new high due to trade uncertainty, the Fed's rate cuts, and central banks' bullion purchases. The Federal Appeals Court's ruling on tariffs and geopolitical tensions have also boosted demand for gold

Debt market drives currencies again: sterling is the victim of the day
Debt market drives currencies again: sterling is the victim of the day.

Britain’s pound and FTSE100 fell as rising bond yields fuel fiscal concerns; investor flight boosts the dollar’s strength as a safe haven.

Market regime change: Microsoft weakening whilst Alphabet strengthens
Market regime change: Microsoft weakening whilst Alphabet strengthens.

There was a notable market shift during August, as Microsoft went down 7.5% while Alphabet went up 13%. Both stocks face possible short-term corrections, but this could make it attractive to buy on a dip.

Gold may be targeting $4,500, silver $50
Gold may be targeting $4,500, silver $50.

Gold eyes $4,500, silver targets $50 as traders show confidence, and platinum is poised for growth. However, caution is urged as historic highs may trigger profit-taking.

The crypto market continues to send alarming signals
The crypto market continues to send alarming signals.

Crypto sentiment weakens, BTC nears key support, ETF inflows rise, and TRON cuts fees as Tether dominance drops below 60%.

What is ahead: EU CPI, US NFP
What is ahead: EU CPI, US NFP.

Key events next week include euro area inflation flash estimates, PMI Manufacturing and Services and Nonfarm Payrolls.

Inflation in the US will not make the Fed’s rate cut in September comfortable
Inflation in the US will not make the Fed’s rate cut in September comfortable.

US inflation is rising but matches forecasts; consumer spending and income remain healthy. The Fed may still cut rates in September, pending jobs data.

Gold approached the upper limit of the 4-month trading range
Gold approached the upper limit of the 4-month trading range.

Gold is trading above $3,400 again at the end of the week. The upper limit of the trading range, within which the price has been fluctuating since April, is close to $3,430. Jerome Powell’s signals about a rate cut, unprecedented.

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