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Market Overview - Page 117


Crude Oil: not a one-way street, but bulls still in charge
Crude Oil: not a one-way street, but bulls still in charge.

Brent lost 7.7% to $106.4 on Monday on fears of a drop in demand due to a lockdown in Shanghai, China’s financial hub. In addition, the Saudi and Yemeni cease-fire and the upcoming Ukraine-Russia talks in Turkey helped reduce the.

US trade deficit near-record won’t help the Dollar
US trade deficit near-record won’t help the Dollar.

According to preliminary data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the US trade deficit stalled last month. Imports exceeded exports by 106.6bn in February, down slightly from 107.6bn a month earlier, offering little consolation. The US has remained a.

The dollar may be giving up reserve positions, but not the price
The dollar may be giving up reserve positions, but not the price.

There has been a lot of talk lately about the decline of the US dollar’s reserve status. However, investors and traders should separate long-term trends from short-term market impulses. Reserve fund managers often prefer to refrain from active selling so.

S&P500 tops 200-day MA: the bottom is behind us
S&P500 tops 200-day MA: the bottom is behind us.

The S&P500 is consolidating above important technical and psychological levels, which could herald further gains in stock markets. The peak of fear in the markets due to the military action in Ukraine came on March 7-8. After that date, we.

War in Ukraine leads to German Business climate collapse
War in Ukraine leads to German Business climate collapse.

According to fresh Ifo estimates, business sentiment in Germany fell in March to its lowest level since January 2021. The business climate index fell from 98.5 to 90.8 following a collapse in business expectations amid war in Ukraine and the.

Russian oil and gas divestment forms a steady upward price trend
Russian oil and gas divestment forms a steady upward price trend.

Oil and gas remain hot topics in the markets. Although these energy prices have corrected from their recent highs, the uptrend promised to be with us if there are no signs of de-escalation in Ukraine. Moreover, high energy prices are.

US Jobless claims fell to the lowest in 53 years
US Jobless claims fell to the lowest in 53 years.

The number of initial jobless claims in the US collapsed to 187K last week, the lowest since 1969. Before the pandemic, the number was hovering around 220K, and we saw a complete recovery to these levels in the previous four.

Falling Japanese yen as canary of a changing world order
Falling Japanese yen as canary of a changing world order.

The collapse of the Japanese yen continues, and so far, there are no signs of a trend reversal. The rise in the Yen is often linked to capital flight from risky assets, and the weakening is a sign of increased.

Gas for rubles: direct and indirect consequences
Gas for rubles: direct and indirect consequences.

The Russian rubles adds more than 3% to the dollar, trading around 100 on news that “so-called unfriendly countries” will have to pay for gas in rubles. Impulsively (as the Russian currency market remains extremely illiquid), the USDRUB dropped below.

High UK inflation erodes confidence in the Bank of England
High UK inflation erodes confidence in the Bank of England.

After the traditional January reset, UK consumer prices continued their flight. Morning data showed that CPI rose by 0.8% last month and 6.2% year-over-year. This data is 0.2 percentage points above market expectations, indicating that prices rise faster than initially.

Bank of Japan will not keep the yen from falling
Bank of Japan will not keep the yen from falling.

The Japanese yen has fallen for the third week in a row, and the amplitude of this decline has become rather scary on Tuesday. It seems yen traders’ stop-lines have been blown as the markets have become increasingly aware of.

EM currencies: growing polarisation
EM currencies: growing polarisation.

Since the start of the year, the performance of emerging market currencies mirrors what we saw last year, but with more polarisation. The Brazilian real has been the growth leader against the dollar since the start of the year, gaining.

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