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Market Overview - Page 114


USDCAD falls on strong inflation and could go lower
USDCAD falls on strong inflation and could go lower.

Canadian consumer inflation rose stronger than expected, adding 1.4% for March and accelerating to 6.7% y/y from 5.7% a month earlier and the forecasted 6.1%. The Bank of Canada last week raised its key rate by 50 points and announced.

Gold’s cup-and-handle pattern?
Gold’s cup-and-handle pattern?.

Gold is falling fast, having lost about 3% to $1940 from Monday’s peak. On Monday, the bulls are locally capitulating after an unsuccessful attempt to push the price above $2000. It would be a mistake to attribute gold’s fall to.

Japan can’t stop yen collapse
Japan can’t stop yen collapse.

The pressure on the Japanese yen persists in the markets. The USDJPY has been hitting 20-year highs almost daily since last week, rising 11.8% to 128.40 since early March. Since the beginning of the year, the yield spread between the.

The dollar is only halfway through the ‘hawkish Fed’ rally
The dollar is only halfway through the ‘hawkish Fed’ rally.

The dollar index passed 101, which we last saw for just over a week at the height of the lockdowns. But history suggests that this rally has roughly passed the halfway point. Except for a brief period of stock market.

US gas overbought
US gas overbought.

Gas prices on the NYMEX are adding for the 11th trading session of the last 12, renewing their highs since October 2008. US gas exchange prices have risen by a third since the beginning of the month and more than.

Robust renminbi despite falling stocks & rising dollar
Robust renminbi despite falling stocks & rising dollar.

The Easter holiday in Europe and a lack of scheduled publications in the US ensure a quiet trading session this Monday. Only a batch of data from China provides some volatility. Chinese stocks were under moderate pressure on Monday, and.

US dollar benefits from soaring oil and gas prices
US dollar benefits from soaring oil and gas prices.

Energy prices continue to fly into the stratosphere, adding 30% since the start of April, strengthening at twice the rate of March. The last time US gas was this expensive was in October 2008. Demand for American gas has surged.

Euro ready to go off the cliff
Euro ready to go off the cliff.

Today’s meeting did not satisfy the expectation that the ECB could lend a helping hand to the euro by keeping it from plunging off a cliff. Europe has refused to accelerate monetary policy normalisation as most G7 countries have. Currency.

Gold and Dollar take a breather, but rally hardly over
Gold and Dollar take a breather, but rally hardly over.

The Dollar is correcting on Thursday morning, losing around 1% from Wednesday’s peak, when the dollar index rose to its highest since May 2020. It has caught our attention that Gold and the Dollar have been moving in tandem since.

A 50-point rate hike has not saved the NZD, CAD from a sell-off
A 50-point rate hike has not saved the NZD, CAD from a sell-off.

Today the central banks of Canada and New Zealand raised their key rates by 50 points at once. New Zealand was not expected to rise sharply, but that did not save the NZD from the ensuing sell-off. A heavy downturn.

Russia’s Crude production slump has brought back the focus on deficit
Russia’s Crude production slump has brought back the focus on deficit.

The price of oil rose more than 6% on Tuesday, with the main driver being news that Russia is sharply cutting its oil production. Reuters sources report a fall in production in the first days of April to 10.32m BPD,.

The pound reacts to rising inflation like EM currency
The pound reacts to rising inflation like EM currency.

Inflation in the UK is developing an acceleration stronger than expected. Estimates for March marked a 1.1% CPI gain for the month, above the 0.8% a month earlier and rebutting analysts’ hopes that the monthly price growth would slow to.

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