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Market Overview - Page 10


Uncertainty benefits AUD, while shutdown hurts USD
Uncertainty benefits AUD, while shutdown hurts USD

AUD rises amid RBA's hawkish stance, while US policy uncertainty and shutdown fears weaken USD, sustaining AUD's upward trend.

Oil: producers intensify battle for market share
Oil: producers intensify battle for market share

US and OPEC Crude oil producers ramp up output, increasing competition for market share; prices face downward pressure despite stocks and commodities growth.

What is ahead: Nonfarm Payrolls
What is ahead: Nonfarm Payrolls

The US jobs report for September is becoming the key event of the week to October 3rd

The Fed’s easing gives gold a chance to repeat its best growth
The Fed’s easing gives gold a chance to repeat its best growth

Gold is trading near record highs, while price pullbacks are attracting new buyers

The dollar starts recovering while stocks – cooling
The dollar starts recovering while stocks – cooling

The US dollar has recovered thanks to the Fed chair's reluctance to signal a rate cut in October, while US stocks overheated in 19 out of 20 valuations

The Swiss National Bank did not dare to openly break the CHF growth trend
The Swiss National Bank did not dare to openly break the CHF growth trend

The SNB kept its key rate at 0.0% but ready to intervene as CHF continue its long-term uptrend.

The euro ignores the positive but quickly plays off Germany’s slowdown
The euro ignores the positive but quickly plays off Germany’s slowdown

The euro weakens as US dollar strengthens, driven by Germany's slowdown and robust US growth, with further dollar gains expected.

The Fed’s easing triggered the dollar’s rise against the NZD, CAD and JPY
The Fed’s easing triggered the dollar’s rise against the NZD, CAD and JPY

The Fed's easing, contrary to the news, boosted the dollar, driving NZD, CAD, and JPY to multi-month lows, while the pound, euro, and franc reversed from extremes.

Euro area Business activity above expected, but too modest for the euro to break through
Euro area Business activity above expected, but too modest for the euro to break through

Eurozone PMI beats forecasts, led by German services, but improvements are too slight for the euro to break key resistance levels for EURUSD and EURGBP.

What the aggressive growth of gold indicates
What the aggressive growth of gold indicates

Gold’s surge to record highs signals strong demand amid global tensions, but rapid growth raises correction risks. Investors are advised to exercise caution.

Gold: sell-the-fact pattern still in play
Gold: sell-the-fact pattern still in play

Gold set records in 2025, up 40% YTD, driven by central bank buying and a weak dollar. However, recent Fed moves have led to a gold pullback as investors buy stocks and dollars.

What is ahead: Flash PMIs for Europe, SNB rate, US PCE
What is ahead: Flash PMIs for Europe, SNB rate, US PCE

The key economic events for the fourth week of autumn will be the release of data on business activity in various countries around the world and the publication of data on the personal consumption expenditure index, the Fed’s preferred inflation.

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