Daily Outlook

Coronavirus: Fact-checking claims it might have started in August 2019

There’s been criticism of a study from the US suggesting that the coronavirus could have been present in the Chinese city of Wuhan as early as August last year.

The study by Harvard University, which gained significant publicity when it was released earlier this month, has been dismissed by China and had its methodology challenged by independent scientists.

What did the research say?
The research is based on satellite imagery of traffic movements around hospitals in Wuhan and the tracking of online searches for specific medical symptoms.

It says there was a noticeable rise in vehicles parking outside six hospitals in the city from late August to 1 December 2019.

This coincided, says the Harvard report, with an increase in searches for possible coronavirus symptoms such as “cough” and “diarrhoea”.

This would be an important finding because the earliest reported case in Wuhan wasn’t until the beginning of December.

The academics write: “While we cannot confirm if the increased volume was directly related to the new virus, our evidence supports other recent work showing that emergence happened before identification at the Huanan Seafood market.”

The Harvard study has gained a lot of traction in the media, with President Trump, who has been highly critical of China’s pandemic response, tweeting a Fox News item highlighting the researchers’ findings. The tweet has been viewed more than three million times.

Coronavirus: Fact-checking claims it might have started in August 2019, BBC, Jun 16

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